Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 16.358308 18.627668 21.055458 23.841093 26.943926 30.288750 34.162065
2024-10-13 13.232115 16.329638 19.874311 24.211709 29.355568 35.239791 42.457848
2024-10-20 10.438609 13.899639 18.117836 23.593775 30.466100 38.753173 49.444151
2024-10-27 8.238821 11.805722 16.422631 22.758674 31.137799 41.738935 56.048780
2024-11-03 7.214073 11.043285 16.272952 23.808922 34.236875 47.982473 67.259623
2024-11-10 6.722008 10.919233 16.932042 25.976243 38.993032 56.765310 82.511495
2024-11-17 6.043459 10.406488 16.954649 27.219212 42.555384 64.199354 96.518060
2024-11-24 5.196998 9.493810 16.251425 27.287562 44.393302 69.324373 107.653544
2024-12-01 4.349934 8.435975 15.170695 26.625347 45.030258 72.705881 116.466208
2024-12-08 3.758629 7.710899 14.516372 26.532988 46.485139 77.346475 127.388665
2024-12-15 3.342532 7.227218 14.193016 26.922385 48.697569 83.246200 140.543875
2024-12-22 2.920114 6.659059 13.642243 26.846818 50.108589 87.945363 152.085401
2024-12-29 2.739564 6.552715 13.937300 28.327628 54.337700 97.567576 172.246729
2025-01-05 2.424768 6.116559 13.558394 28.546462 56.403317 103.793013 187.333183
2025-01-12 2.041398 5.460705 12.662036 27.692880 56.478091 106.676188 197.084669
2025-01-19 1.700007 4.830368 11.724181 26.640437 56.073027 108.676632 205.439102
2025-01-26 1.590005 4.730218 11.882791 27.781141 59.855026 118.226494 227.273274
2025-02-02 1.586536 4.895884 12.637511 30.213048 66.290039 132.876980 258.770432
2025-02-09 1.502789 4.838287 12.884370 31.598158 70.775225 144.243751 285.035506
2025-02-16 1.340215 4.536735 12.530521 31.653687 72.609918 150.834196 303.076058
2025-02-23 1.150746 4.118136 11.838907 30.884698 72.692701 154.131863 315.276307
2025-03-02 1.020688 3.843783 11.458523 30.769533 74.104235 160.008401 332.496741
2025-03-09 0.932395 3.677450 11.325544 31.205897 76.698539 168.284230 354.563148